We report two probability maps (Map A and Map B) for the occurrence of next
large events with M 5.5+ in Italy (target events) for the next 10 years. The
two maps are calculated by using the same statistical procedure applied to a seismotectonic zonation (MAP A)
and to a regular grid (MAP B). The probability maps are updated every 1st of
January and after the occurrence of a new target event. For more details on the
method see Faenza *et al.* 2003 and Cinti *et al.* 2004.

**MAP A**

The statistical procedure is applied to a seismotectonic zonation.

Zones are supposed to be homogeneous with respect to the
kinematics and orientation of the stress field.

The map reports the probability of occurrence of at least
one event with M 5.5+ for the next 10 years in each zone.

Table with the probability value (P) of the zones
with *P > 0* of **Map A**: tab_map_A_01_01_2013.txt

Here, you can download **Map A**: map_A_01_01_2013.ps

**MAP B**

The statistical procedure is applied to a
regular spatial grid.

The map reports the probability of occurrence of at least
one event with M 5.5+ for the next 10 years per unit of surface (Km^{2}).

Table with the probability values of the nodes of **Map B**: tab_map_B_01_01_2013.txt

Here, you can download **Map B**: map_B_01_01_2013.ps

**REMARKS
ABOUT FUTURE TARGET EVENTS**